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UCL = x + ( t 0.95,v )( s 2/n )
(L-26)
As in the first approach, the MSE is used in place of s2 if variances are not
significantly different, and the degrees of freedom (v) are N - k. If variances are
significantly different, s2 for the individual treatment is used, and v for each
tissue level is below the UCL. If the UCL is below the action level, there is a
$0.95 probability that the population mean tissue level for the dredged material
is below the action level, and we conclude that the action level is not exceeded.
If the UCL is above the action level, we cannot be sure that the mean population
tissue level does not exceed the action level.
Either of the above procedures may be used with data that have failed the
normality test, but the results should be considered approximate.
The choice of which approach to use depends on the computer software and
the presentation method to be used. In SAS, it is more convenient to calculate
the UCL and compare with the action level, as in program BIOACC
(Section L.4.2). In SYSTAT, it is simpler to conduct a one-sample t-test. Both
approaches can easily be performed by hand. If these data are presented
graphically, as in Figure L-5, the confidence-level approach is used. If the
investigator wants to provide the exact probability that the mean tissue level is
less than the action level, then the one-sample t-test is used.
Figure L-5 presents a comparison of mean bioaccumulation from the three
dredged sediments (see Table L-6) with a hypothetical action level of 0.2 g/g.
There is no need to calculate the UCL for sediment 1 as the mean exceeds the
action level. Because variances were not significantly different for the
untransformed data (Table L-7), we use MSE = 0.003763 and t0.95,16 = 1.746 in
Equation L-21 to obtain:
UCL = 0.190 + 1.746(0.003763/5)2 = 0.238
(L-27)
for sediment 2, and UCL = 0.178 for sediment 3. SAS program BIOACC
(Section L.4.2) calculates UCL for both equal and unequal variances.
If the UCL lies below the action level, there is a >0.95 probability that the
true population mean tissue level for that sediment is less than the action level.
Thus, we would conclude that mean bioaccumulation for dredged sediment 3 is
less than the action level. Because the UCL for sediment 2 exceeds the action
level even though the sample mean does not, we cannot be sure that the true
population mean tissue level for this sediment is less than the action level.
L37
Appendix L Selected Resource Documents
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